And there's the thing. The assumption that all batches of similar materials are the same doesn't hold up. Pigments, additives and the chemical compounds of different manufactuers or even the same ones may change and thus alter the equation in terms of lifespan.
Zamak a metal much used in the manufacture of diecast models from the 1930s through to the 1950s developed a horrible reputation for crumbling into dust with age. yet there have been different formulations of the material over the years, just as there have been a wide variety of manufacturers of products using it. Some have crumbled, some are still goin strong almost 100 years on.