this was a tough one!
Not least of which was because I keep getting distracted by 'which of these two parties will win in a fight?'

It's 4 against 5 unless the packmule has been trained to use his kick for an offensive attack

and the smaller group doesn't have magic.. that is going to hurt them, but the wizard of the second group has more of a con artist/Goodgulf about him than serious magic, I think he might have just duped his way into a hefty cut of the spoils, and that elf is winged, and their dwarf doesn't look as confident in the fight as the first one. So not betting on numbers to win the day. I think I'll give the fight to the first group, as for painting.. that'll take me a bit longer to decide